PredictSites

Best Prediction Sites in the US [2026]

We rank the 7 best US-legal prediction platforms. CFTC-regulated event contracts, state-licensed sports predictions, and clear flagging of which platforms block US users. State-by-state availability and what makes a US prediction site safe.

7 US-legal optionsCFTC-regulated & state-licensedPolymarket = geo-blocked
Written by John Harris|Fact-checked by Sarah Chen|Last updated May 6, 2026

Affiliate disclosure: We may earn a commission if you sign up through our links. This does not affect our ratings or editorial independence. How we rate platforms →

Top 7 US-Legal Prediction Sites Ranked

#1
Kalshi logo

Kalshi

Best for: Regulated event contracts on politics, economics, and weather

Overall

4.7/5

Kalshi is the leading US-legal prediction market. The platform holds a CFTC Designated Contract Market licence and is fully legal in all 50 US states under federal regulatory oversight. Coverage spans politics, economics (Federal Reserve rate decisions, CPI, unemployment data), weather, sports, and entertainment. The 2024 federal court win confirmed election prediction markets are legal in the US, locking in Kalshi's regulatory foundation. For US users wanting the deepest regulated market range, Kalshi is the clear primary choice.

LicenceCFTC DCMStatesAll 50
Visit KalshiRead Full Review
#2
Robinhood Predict logo

Robinhood Predict

Best for: US users inside an existing brokerage app

Overall

4.3/5

Robinhood Predict launched in 2025 as a CFTC Designated Contract Market via Robinhood Derivatives. Same regulatory framework as Kalshi, fully legal in all 50 US states. Event contracts appear inside the standard Robinhood app alongside stocks, options, and crypto, with a $1 minimum trade. For US users who already have a Robinhood account, the prediction product is the easiest possible on-ramp because there is no separate signup, no new app, and no crypto.

LicenceCFTC DCMStatesAll 50
Visit Robinhood PredictRead Full Review
#3
PrizePicks Predict logo

PrizePicks Predict

Best for: Sports prop pick'em with deepest player props

Overall

4.5/5

PrizePicks Predict pioneered the prop pick format and remains the deepest player prop catalogue available to US users. The platform operates under daily fantasy or prediction market licensing in most US states, with a state count in the high 30s. Coverage spans all major US sports plus esports and entertainment props. Pick variants including Demon picks, Goblin picks, and Flex Plays give experienced players multiple ways to express edge. State availability changes regularly so check before signing up.

LicenceDFS / State-LicensedStatesMost states (high 30s)
Visit PrizePicks PredictRead Full Review
#4
FanDuel Predicts logo

FanDuel Predicts

Best for: Existing FanDuel sportsbook users

Overall

4.4/5

FanDuel Predicts is the prediction market arm of FanDuel and integrates directly with the broader FanDuel ecosystem. Single login covers FanDuel Sportsbook, Daily Fantasy, and Predicts. State availability tracks the FanDuel sportsbook footprint with some additional states under prediction-specific licensing. Sports menu is wide, mobile app is polished, and welcome offers run regularly for new US users.

LicenceDFS / State-LicensedStatesMost FanDuel states
Visit FanDuel PredictsRead Full Review
#5
DraftKings Predictions logo

DraftKings Predictions

Best for: DraftKings ecosystem users with research focus

Overall

4.3/5

DraftKings Predictions matches FanDuel on most categories with stronger coverage on MMA, motorsport, and college sports. Crowns rewards multiply across DraftKings Sportsbook, DFS, and Predictions, making it the strongest US choice for users already inside the DraftKings ecosystem. State availability follows the DraftKings sportsbook footprint plus prediction-specific licensing in select additional states.

LicenceDFS / State-LicensedStatesMost DraftKings states
Visit DraftKings PredictionsRead Full Review
#6
Novig logo

Novig

Best for: Value-driven peer-to-peer sports betting

Overall

4.2/5

Novig runs as a peer-to-peer sports prediction exchange with zero vig, removing the 4-10% margin that traditional sportsbooks build into their odds. Available in select US states under prediction-specific licensing rather than the broader sportsbook framework, so the state list is narrower than FanDuel or DraftKings. For US users in supported states who place enough sports trades for vig to matter, Novig delivers a structural cost advantage.

LicenceDFS / State-LicensedStatesSelect US states
Visit NovigRead Full Review
#7
Sleeper Markets logo

Sleeper Markets

Best for: Fantasy crossover and friend group play

Overall

3.5/5

Sleeper Markets sits inside the Sleeper fantasy app that millions of US fantasy players already use. Free contests run alongside paid contests, providing a low-pressure on-ramp for new users. State availability tracks the broader Sleeper fantasy footprint plus additional states under prediction market licensing. The social pull of friend competition through existing fantasy leagues is the platform's biggest differentiator.

LicenceDFS / State-LicensedStatesMost Sleeper states
Visit Sleeper MarketsRead Full Review

Comparison Table

Licensing framework and state availability at a glance.

#PlatformLicenceStatesReview
1
Kalshi logoKalshi
CFTC DCMAll 50Read →
2
Robinhood Predict logoRobinhood Predict
CFTC DCMAll 50Read →
3
PrizePicks Predict logoPrizePicks Predict
DFS / State-LicensedMost states (high 30s)Read →
4
FanDuel Predicts logoFanDuel Predicts
DFS / State-LicensedMost FanDuel statesRead →
5
DraftKings Predictions logoDraftKings Predictions
DFS / State-LicensedMost DraftKings statesRead →
6
Novig logoNovig
DFS / State-LicensedSelect US statesRead →
7
Sleeper Markets logoSleeper Markets
DFS / State-LicensedMost Sleeper statesRead →

Polymarket Is Geo-Blocked for US Users

Polymarket is the largest prediction market in the world by trading volume but it does not accept US users. The platform settled with the CFTC in January 2022 and agreed to block all US IP addresses as part of the resolution. US residents who attempt to access Polymarket via VPN violate the platform's terms of service and may also violate US law.

If you are a US user looking for the closest equivalent to Polymarket's deep political and event markets, the right primary platform is Kalshi. Kalshi holds a CFTC Designated Contract Market licence, is fully legal in all 50 US states, and lists the deepest US political and economic markets among regulated platforms. Robinhood Predict is a strong second option for users already inside the Robinhood app.

We do not recommend using a VPN to access Polymarket from the US under any circumstances. The risks include account closure, fund forfeiture, and potential legal exposure that far outweigh any liquidity advantage. Stick to US-legal platforms.

State-by-State Availability

State availability is the practical first question for any US prediction user. CFTC-regulated platforms (Kalshi and Robinhood Predict) operate in all 50 states uniformly. State-licensed sports prediction platforms vary based on each state's daily fantasy and sportsbook rules.

States with established sports betting and DFS frameworks typically support most platforms. New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, Illinois, Ohio, Michigan, Arizona, and Colorado all support most of the platforms ranked above. California has restrictions on sports prediction platforms and supports CFTC-regulated platforms only. Texas allows CFTC platforms but has variable rules around state-licensed prediction products. Florida's prediction landscape changes regularly.

States with restrictive gambling frameworks (Hawaii, Utah, Idaho, and a few others) have fewer options. CFTC-regulated platforms remain available in these states because federal regulation pre-empts most state restrictions on event contracts. Sports prediction platforms are typically unavailable.

Always check the current state list on each platform's website before signing up. State availability changes regularly as states update their rules and as platforms expand or retract from specific markets. For deeper context on the legal landscape, read our [legal status guide](/guides/are-prediction-markets-legal-us/).

What Makes a US Prediction Site Safe?

A safe US prediction site has three properties. First, verifiable regulatory licensing under either CFTC oversight or state DFS or sportsbook frameworks. Second, segregated customer funds held separately from platform operating capital. Third, transparent terms, fees, and resolution rules published in advance.

All seven platforms in this ranking meet these standards. Kalshi and Robinhood Predict operate under CFTC oversight with full segregated fund protection at the federal regulatory level. PrizePicks Predict, FanDuel Predicts, DraftKings Predictions, Novig, and Sleeper Markets operate under state-level DFS or prediction market licensing with consumer protections appropriate to those frameworks.

The biggest safety risks come from using unlicensed offshore platforms or attempting to access geo-blocked platforms via VPN. Both expose you to platform failure risk without legal recourse and may also violate US law. If a platform openly accepts US users and operates under verified regulatory licensing, it is safe in the regulatory sense. The remaining risk is platform-specific: market resolution accuracy, customer support quality, and operational reliability, all of which are covered in our individual platform reviews.

CFTC-Regulated vs DFS-Licensed Platforms

The two main licensing frameworks for US prediction sites deliver different protections and product types. Understanding the difference helps you pick the right platform for your needs.

CFTC-regulated platforms (Kalshi and Robinhood Predict) operate as federal derivatives exchanges. They list event contracts under CFTC Designated Contract Market rules and operate uniformly across all 50 US states. Customer funds are held in segregated accounts. Contracts are legally enforceable under federal law. The product range covers political events, economic indicators, weather, and select sports markets. Pricing is set by user trading rather than house odds.

DFS-licensed platforms (PrizePicks Predict, FanDuel Predicts, DraftKings Predictions, Novig, Sleeper Markets) operate as daily fantasy or sports prediction products under state-level licensing. They list player props and game outcome markets with specific scoring rules that vary by entry type. State availability varies. Consumer protections come from each state's gaming commission or daily fantasy oversight rather than federal CFTC rules.

For maximum regulatory protection and federal-level licensing, choose a CFTC-regulated platform. For sports player props specifically, DFS-licensed platforms typically have deeper sports catalogues. Many active US users keep accounts on both types: CFTC platforms for event contracts and DFS platforms for sports props.

How We Rate US Prediction Sites

Our US prediction site rankings weight legal access, regulatory protections, and state availability alongside the standard market quality metrics.

  • 1. Regulatory Status (30%)

    CFTC oversight or state-licensed framework, segregated fund implementation, dispute recourse, and verifiability through public regulatory registers.

  • 2. State Availability (20%)

    Number of US states where the platform operates legally and stability of state list over time.

  • 3. Market Range (20%)

    Breadth and depth of markets available to US users, with weighting for unique market types like Fed rate decisions and weather contracts.

  • 4. Liquidity and Pricing (15%)

    Order book depth and bid-ask spreads on flagship markets available to US users.

  • 5. Mobile UX and Onboarding (15%)

    App polish, signup friction, and how quickly a US user can go from first download to first trade.

We update these rankings every quarter as state laws evolve, new platforms launch, and existing platforms expand or retract state availability. We do not accept payment for ranking placement.

FAQ

What is the best prediction site in the US in 2026?

For most US users, Kalshi is the right primary platform. It holds a CFTC Designated Contract Market licence and is legal in all 50 states with the widest regulated market range covering politics, economics, weather, and sports. Robinhood Predict is a strong second choice for users already inside the Robinhood app. For sports-focused users specifically, PrizePicks Predict, FanDuel Predicts, and DraftKings Predictions are all excellent depending on which app ecosystem you already use.

Why is Polymarket blocked for US users?

Polymarket settled with the CFTC in January 2022 over allegations it operated unregistered binary options markets. As part of that settlement, Polymarket agreed to block all US IP addresses and paid a $1.4 million fine. The platform now operates as a decentralised exchange on the Polygon blockchain and is freely accessible in the UK, Canada, Australia, and most other countries outside the US. Using a VPN to access Polymarket from the US violates the platform's terms of service and may also violate US law. US users should choose Kalshi, Robinhood Predict, or another US-legal platform from the rankings on this page. For more on the US legal landscape, see our legal status guide.

Are prediction sites legal in all 50 US states?

It depends on the platform's licensing. CFTC-regulated event contract platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood Predict operate under federal CFTC oversight and are legal in all 50 US states. State-licensed sports prediction platforms like PrizePicks Predict, FanDuel Predicts, DraftKings Predictions, Novig, and Sleeper Markets operate under daily fantasy or sportsbook licensing on a state-by-state basis. State availability for these platforms varies and changes over time. Always check the current state list on each platform's website before signing up.

What is the difference between CFTC and DFS licensing?

CFTC licensing comes from the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission and applies uniformly across all 50 US states. CFTC-regulated platforms hold a Designated Contract Market licence, which covers event contracts as a federal derivatives product. DFS licensing comes from individual state gaming commissions and applies state-by-state. DFS-licensed platforms operate as daily fantasy or pick'em products under each state's specific rules. CFTC-regulated platforms have wider geographic reach and federal regulatory protections. DFS-licensed platforms typically have deeper sports prop catalogues but availability varies by state.

Which states have the most prediction site options?

States with established sports betting and daily fantasy frameworks typically have the most options. New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, Illinois, Ohio, Michigan, Arizona, and Colorado all support most of the platforms ranked on this page. CFTC-regulated platforms (Kalshi, Robinhood Predict) work in any US state. State-licensed platforms (PrizePicks, FanDuel Predicts, DraftKings Predictions, Sleeper, Novig) vary state by state. Some states with restrictive gambling laws (Hawaii, Utah, Idaho, and a few others) have fewer options. Always check the current state list before signing up.

Is it safe to use a US prediction site?

Yes on regulated platforms. Kalshi and Robinhood Predict hold CFTC Designated Contract Market licences with segregated customer funds, federally enforceable contracts, and formal dispute resolution channels. State-licensed sports platforms operate under their respective state regulatory frameworks with their own consumer protections. The biggest safety risks come from using unregulated or geo-blocked platforms via VPN, which exposes you to platform failure risk without recourse and may also violate US law. Stick to platforms that openly accept US users and operate under verified regulatory licensing.

How do I choose the right US prediction site?

Start with what you want to predict on. For political event contracts, Federal Reserve decisions, weather, or general event markets, choose Kalshi. For event contracts inside an existing brokerage app, choose Robinhood Predict. For sports player props, choose PrizePicks Predict, FanDuel Predicts, or DraftKings Predictions based on which sportsbook ecosystem you already use. For zero-vig sports betting, choose Novig. Many active US users maintain accounts on a CFTC-regulated platform plus a sports-licensed platform to cover both event contracts and sports props.

Compare every US-legal platform

See our full rankings of US-legal prediction sites in one place.

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